Bitcoin Downturn Persists Despite ETF Hope: Will the Rally Fade with "Sell the News"?

On-chain data shows bids at $40,000, analysts urge caution against overhyped ETF expectations

Dorin Buliga
Dorin Buliga
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Bitcoin (BTC) encountered a downturn on December 28, with prices falling to $42,542, marking a continued struggle within a persistent price range.

Despite hopes for a post-Christmas rally, BTC/USD failed to break free from the confines of its recent corridor, as observed on the 1-hour chart from TradingView.

Recent market movements have seen a $1,500 drop in BTC price from the day's start. This downturn reflects the significant resistance faced by the cryptocurrency, which has been unable to push past a week-long price range.

Analysts note multiple factors contributing to this stagnation, including profit-taking activities and high funding rates, which raise concerns about the market's next move.

On-chain analytics from contributors like Maartunn at CryptoQuant reveal an increase in bid liquidity around the $40,000 support level on Coinbase, indicating a potential cushion for Bitcoin's value.

https://twitter.com/JA_Maartun/status/1740385086053458400?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1740385086053458400%7Ctwgr%5Ed84730d66a1a2c1be5c4c4caaf559201b74ea49d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcointelegraph.com%2Fnews%2Fbtc-price-dives-1-5-k-bitcoin-analysts-watch-support

Material Indicators pointed out whale activity within the current price range, with some bids moving above $42,000, possibly to avert further declines. The liquidity heatmap for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance further illustrates these shifts.

ETF Speculation and Analyst Warnings

As the market anticipates the United States' decision on the first Bitcoin spot price ETF, due by January 10, 2024, analysts like Filbfilb of DecenTrader urge caution.

The hype surrounding ETF predictions might lead to unrealistic expectations and a subsequent market correction. While Filbfilb predicts a $46,000 BTC price by the April block subsidy halving, he, along with others, anticipates a potential "sell the news" reaction if the ETF approval doesn't meet investor enthusiasm.

Despite the current market challenges, there's a general consensus that 2024 might bring stronger performance for Bitcoin, especially if the ETF receives approval. However, the market remains watchful, ready to adjust to the shifts and trends that lie ahead in the cryptocurrency landscape.

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