Bitcoin's price trapped in a narrow range amid record-low volatility

What's holding Bitcoin back?

Dorin Buliga
Dorin Buliga
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Bitcoin's price, currently around $29,789, appears trapped in a narrow trading range, with futures markets stagnating near all-time lows.

Despite hitting an intraday high of $29,735, an increase of almost 2%, Bitcoin continues to trade within a slim bracket of $28,670 – $31,000.

This confined movement is noteworthy for the premier cryptocurrency, which has been experiencing an exceptionally calm period.

BTC price

Bitcoin's price and its marked decrease in volatility can be tracked through data provided by CoinMarketCap and Glassnode.

Bitcoin's current price trend mirrors its sideways trading witnessed during the 2016 and 2019 cycles. However, the realized volatility this year has plummeted to multi-year lows. To put things into perspective, Bitcoin's 1-year realized volatility hasn't been this low since December 2016, as indicated by Glassnode's data.

This subdued volatility goes hand in hand with a drop in BTC futures and options trading volume. It's not just Bitcoin facing this situation; Ethereum's (ETH) derivatives market has dipped below January 2023 levels this August, with the current price ticking down to $1,861.

As of now, Bitcoin's aggregate derivatives trade volume is just $19 billion, approaching its January 2023 trough.

Technically analyzing Bitcoin's market price, it remains sustained above several pivotal long-term moving averages, which is reminiscent of previous Bitcoin cycles, as shown by Glassnode.

However, this state of low volatility and constrained price range might not persist for long.

With the future of Bitcoin's price being uncertain, investors and enthusiasts are closely monitoring its moves, ready to respond to the slightest hint of change.

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